Sports playing can be extremely profitable if a person know the secrets and techniques the particular “smart money” bettors work with to consistently make cash. One of the greatest secrets that intelligent money gamblers use is usually knowing when NOT for you to bet.
Here’s a best case in point. I actually analyzed often the Western side Virginia vs. Louisville sport, and concluded the fact that West Las vegas had the particular edge in the game. Yet , My partner and i also understood that there were a good deal of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to a clients that they perform not wager on this game. Here is my personal analysis I released before the game:
West Va versus Louisville
This game provides all the indicators of being one connected with the greatest games involving the year, along with each teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, each along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, using Rest of the world Virginia coming back from staying down large in the 4th quarter to winning inside overtime, however,.
So what’s the sport look like this year?
In the event that this game were as played at some sort of natural field, West Florida would likely probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since the particular game was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…
West Virginia will be on an unprecedented throw. These people haven’t lost considering April. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they shed to Virginia Tech. In the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last being unfaithful video games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their very last 10 HIGHWAY games.
All these are some very remarkable stats that tilt this scales in favor involving WVU for tonight’s online game. Plus, this included benefit is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This may not appear like much, but in a close up match-up such as this, that extra point will certainly make the variation between some sort of push and even a loss.
But UFABET may be wondering what about Louisville?
Louisville’s stats are almost as good as WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their particular last 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS in their very last 10 home game titles.
In addition to if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t shed in your own home since 12 16, the year 2003! During this present run Louisville is hitting 49. some points for every game at your home, while hitting only giving up 15. 6 points for every game on home. In case a person decided not to do the mathematics, that means considering that their very own last home decline they also have averaged beating their very own opposing team by about 34 items per game.
In addition outstanding, the average line in these games has only already been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten often the get spread around, on average, by 13 items per sport at home since 2003.
Wow… how can anyone go against that?
Here’s how…
The majority of those stats had been built up during the 2006 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to fine than great. They’ve experienced recent games in which they already have only scored 36, twenty three, 24 points. That video games weren’t against Kansas St. or Michigan. They will have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.
To put it succinctly that will this is still a close sport to call up. Although the things i look with regard to is West Virginia’s safety to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s zero reason to think WVU can’t have one to the particular low to mid 20’s. My honest advice will be to lay off that game and not really wager at all. There usually are better game titles this weekend break with more simple strengths.
The final score with this game was Louisville 46, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to come back some sort of punt for a good TD. The results was the fact that West Virginia’s fringe has not been so big that they can could very well still win immediately after doing so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this particular game, people critical concerning wagering saved money they will can put to better make use of on coming games.